Recently Reuters ran this article : U.S. jobs market dropouts increasingly likely to stay out
And they had this nice bit of information :
''According to economists who have
analyzed Labor Department data, 6.6 million people exited the workforce
from 2010 and 2013. About 61 percent of these dropouts were retirees,
more than double the previous three years' share.
People
dropping out because of disability accounted for 28 percent, also up
significantly from 2007-2010. Of those remaining, 7 percent were heading
to school, while the other 4 percent left for other reasons.
In
contrast, between 2007 and 2010, retirees made up a quarter of the six
million people who left the labor force, while 18 percent were
classified as disabled. About 57 percent were either in school or
otherwise on the sidelines.''
Lets look at that graphically :
and
Thats a pretty big shift.
The more recent 3 years we can see that most of the people leaving are leaving for retirement. Thats a demographic change we'd expect due to the baby boomers retiring. Theres also a fair amount of people going into disability, and I assume many of them are baby boomers too. Thats also a pretty expected trend.
Compared to the 07-10 period when most people left to go to school or 'other'. Annoyingly the article doesn't break down the % of people who went to school versus other reasons and lumps them together. But clearly that large of a drop in the labor pool for school or other is not explained by demographics and is not expected.
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