November 10, 2010

Median Rent by State

Here is the list of median rents in dollars by state:


Median
United States 819
Alabama 620
Alaska 945
Arizona 847
Arkansas 601
California 1,118
Colorado 833
Connecticut 959
Delaware 916
District of Columbia 979
Florida 946
Georgia 790
Hawaii 1,235
Idaho 677
Illinois 812
Indiana 670
Iowa 607
Kansas 653
Kentucky 581
Louisiana 678
Maine 684
Maryland 1,044
Massachusetts 987
Michigan 710
Minnesota 740
Mississippi 626
Missouri 646
Montana 613
Nebraska 634
Nevada 999
New Hampshire 919
New Jersey 1,058
New Mexico 661
New York 941
North Carolina 698
North Dakota 532
Ohio 666
Oklahoma 613
Oregon 770
Pennsylvania 715
Rhode Island 869
South Carolina 676
South Dakota 558
Tennessee 657
Texas 762
Utah 764
Vermont 778
Virginia 922
Washington 850
West Virginia 532
Wisconsin 699
Wyoming 642

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-2008 American Community Survey

Here is the information shown graphically:




Source : I got the information off the Census' American Factfinder site.    I chose the 'housing' and then 'financial characteristics' options in the left margin.   The resulting page had an entry for "Median Monthly Renter Costs, map by state" and if you click that link it shows the map of the US with different colors representing different rent levels.   From that page there is also an option on the left to view as a table.   This is the link I used to get the table but I'm not sure if it will work statically.

November 9, 2010

Taxes Are NOT at Historic Lows

One of my pet peeves that I've developed recently is hearing people talk about taxes being at "historic lows" or words to that effect.   I've seen bloggers and commenters on blogs make the statement at least a couple times within just this week.      Even the mainstream media also likes to talk about historically low taxes.   Washington Post : Americans' Tax Burden Near Historic Low  At least they qualified it with the word 'near'.

Taxes are definitely low right now compared to recent decades but taxes are not at historic lows.   

Lets look at taxes from several angles and see how the tax rates today compare to past.


1. Top Tax Rates
We can find the Historical Tax brackets from the Tax Foundation site.

Top marginal rate is 35% as of 2010.  Back in 1992 the top marginal rate was 31%.    Today's top tax rate is 4% higher than it was 18 years ago. 

Verdict : Top Marginal tax rate is Not at Historic Low


2.  Taxes as % of GDP

I talked before about the History of Federal Tax Receipts as % of GDP
I got that data from the Excel sheet with data for 1934 to 2015

Total tax receipts as % of GDP the low was 4.8% in 1934 and up to 14.8% in 2009  Not at Historic Low
Individual income taxes low of 0.7% in 1934, versus 6.4% in 2009 Not at Historic Low
Social insurance was at 0.1% in 1936 and 0.7% in 1937 then by 2009 it was 6.3%. Not at Historic Low


Verdict : Taxes as % of GDP are not at historic lows

3.  Average tax rates

The CBO has Effective tax rates from 1979 to 2007.

Total average federal tax rate: 2007 = 20.4% vs 2003 = 19.8%  Not at Historic Low

Average individual income tax rate: 2007 = 9.3% vs 2003 = 8.4%  Not at Historic Low


Average social insurance tax rate 2007 = 7.4% vs 1979 = 6.9% Not at Historic Low

Average corporate income tax rate 2007 = 3% vs 1982 = 1.4% Not at Historic Low

Average excise tax rate 2007 = 0.6% This IS the lowest since 1979


Verdict: Average taxes are not at historic low

4. Tax Freedom Day

Tax Freedom Day

Tax Freedom Day historically from 1900 to 2010

2010 = April 9th at 26.89%
1900 = Jan 22nd at 5.9%
1950 = March 7th at 24.6%



Verdict : Tax Freedom Day is Not at Historic Low

Lets sum up :

1. Top marginal rate = Not at Historic Low
2. Taxes as % of GDP = Not at Historic Low
3. Average tax rates = Not at Historic Low
4. Tax Freedom Day = Not at Historic Low

Bottom Line :   Taxes are Not at Historic Lows 

November 8, 2010

Example of a Bad Roth IRA Conversion

Lets pretend for a minute shall we?    

Lets say that I'm a single person making $50,000 annual salary.   I put 10% of may pay into a 401k and my stingy employer didn't match it.   Over the past several years I've done pretty well with my investments and I've now got a total of $150,000 in my 401k.   I then switch to a new employer and decide to roll over my 401k money into an IRA.  Now I've got $150,000 in an IRA.   I decide to convert the IRA into a Roth IRA.   Cause thats what people do right?

 I'm normally making $50,000 but $5,000 of that has been tax sheltered in the 401k.  In a normal year I pay $5,094 to the IRS (using 2010 taxes) on my $45,000 income (less the 10% into retirement).     I'm in the 25% tax bracket as a single person.   I'm effectively avoiding a $1,250 tax on my $5,000 by putting it into my 401k.     The 401k savings would have been taxed at 25%.   But I instead didn't pay that and sheltered the savings from taxes.

OK now lets convert that $150,000 into a Roth IRA.   Everyones' doing it, so I guess I should too.  When you roll money into a Roth IRA conversion you have to pay the taxes on it.  My normal income of $50,000 plus the $150,000 puts me into the $200,000 income bracket and I have to pay income tax on all of that.   Income level of $200,000 puts me up to the 33% tax bracket (for 2010).   That gives me a total tax bill of $48,031.   This is $41,687 more than I would have paid without the conversion.   $41,687 taxes out of $150,000 from my IRA is an effective tax rate of 27.8%.   In order to convert the $150,000 IRA into a Roth IRA I'll have to pay 27.8% of the total in taxes.

I saved money in a 401k for years and avoided paying a 25% tax rate and then once I'd piled it all up into a savings account I decide to pay taxes at the rate of 27.8%.   Let me repeat that.  I avoided paying 25% tax and now I'm paying a 27.8% tax.  No. That does not make sense.

I don't happen to have $41,687 sitting in cash waiting to pay that tax bill.  So I use my IRA money to pay the taxes.   That leaves me with $108,313 in the Roth IRA after the fact.

Lets say I decide to retire early at age 62 and start drawing social security.   I'm frugal and can live off a relatively small amount.   My social security check is about $1,050 a month which gives me $12,600.   I then use the 4% rule to draw out of my IRA.    My social security and other income is low enough that I would not have to pay any income taxes on my social security.

The Roth IRA ended up with $108.313 which would give me $4,332 per year using the 4% rule.  But that money is TAX FREE!   YAY. 

On the other hand if I'd kept my $150,000 in the IRA and drawn out 4% of that I'd be taking out $6,000 a year and I'd have to pay taxes on that amount.  BOO!     Lets go back and use the handy tax calculator to figure out what my taxes on that $6,000 would have been.   Plug in $6,000 income, carry the 1, square root of pi, etc... the income tax on $6,000 for a single person is $0.


Lets sum up:    Over many years I put money into a 401k in order to avoid paying 25% tax rate.   Then I purposefully rolled that money into a Roth IRA and paid a 27.8% tax rate on it.   This left me with a $41,687 tax bill that cut my IRA funds from $150,000 to $108,313.    I purposefully chose to pay $41,687 in taxes.   THe end result is that I was able to avoid paying taxes on my retirement account withdrawals.   However if I had not done the roll over my tax liability would have been $0.    So in the name of avoiding taxes I gave the government $41,687 of my money in taxes in order to cut my retirement income from $6000 a year after taxes to $4,332 a year after taxes.   I did not make a good choice.

Obviously this is a contrived example.    I really hope there aren't people actually in this kind of situation but I fear there are a few folks doing exactly this.  If this person had done a couple things different then it wouldn't be as bad.   But the point of the story here is that Roth IRA conversions are not a great idea for everyone.   If you are considering a Roth IRA then you really need to figure out if its in your best interest and figure your tax impacts either way.

November 7, 2010

Residential Consumption of Electricity and Fuels

American households spend a significant amount of money on heating and cooling of our homes as well as electricity to run our appliances, power out TVs and heat our water.   I thought it would be interesting to look at energy consumption and usage for U.S. households in general.  

Primary source of information I found was the 2005 Residential Energy Consumption Survey from the Department of Energy

Total expenditures by fuels used

Fuels used in billions for 2005
Electricity = $124.7B
Natural Gas = $52.34
Fuel Oil = $12.75
Kerosene  = $0.24
LPG  = $11

Primary heating fuel usage varies a lot from state to state.   The census has data on house heating fuel by state.

Total Expenditures for space heating by fuel used

Total = $56.73B

Electricity = $7.42
Natural Gas = $31.97
Fuel Oil = $10.75
Kerosene = $0.24
LPG = $6.35

Electricity consumption by use in 2001 from DOE

I reproduced their graph here:


Air conditioning expenditures for 2005

91 million out of 111 million or 82% of households had AC and spent a total of $25.3B

Spending per household

The BLS.gov Consumer Expenditure Survey will give us data on the average spending per household.

In 2009 spending was $483 for natural gas, $1377 for electricity and $141 for fuel oil and other fuels.   Of course not all houses spend money on all of these.  

Note:  The figures here do not include energy used for automobiles, industrial or commercial uses so the national usage figures will be much higher.

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