So, according to CR's analysis, the amount a typical, payment-making owner could save in fuel costs by trading in early at three years, even with a big jump in miles per gallon, is significantly less than the amount the person will save in depreciation by keeping the vehicle another two years. After five years, trading in for a smaller car makes more economic sense.
This makes sense to me, basically in general you want to avoid trading in your car too frequently. Because the depreciation and interest are higher at the start of your purchase, if you trade in too often you eat too much in depreciation and interest costs. If you bought a new car with a loan and traded it in for another new car every 2 years you'd be blowing a lot of money on interest and depreciation. For the same reason you don't want to trade in a newer car for a more fuel efficient model too soon.